Jolyon@jolyon

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Netanyahu Iran Gulf analysis

Israeli military correspondents suggest Netanyahu might start a war to delay his own election. Maariv's Amir Ben-David reports that senior IDF officers believe Netanyahu wants an escalation in Gaza specifically to push back the October vote, even though Netanyahu's generals reportedly do not want an escalation. A similar pattern occurred in Syria where Tom Barak stated everything was calm with negotiations scheduled, yet Netanyahu struck runways anyway. Netanyahu is reported to be sitting at around 20% in election polling. The situation across the Gulf reflects a split picture in Iran regarding whether to take a deal or hold out to make Trump pay politically before the midterms. Iran's president and parliament speaker have posted conciliatory messages stating People are suffering and I'm a fighter and I know the importance of avoiding war. Satellite tracking shows only three tankers crossed the Strait yesterday. This stands in contrast to the administration pushing a figure of 10 million barrels a day through Axios. Kissinger is quoted as saying to be America's enemy is dangerous. To be America's friend can be fatal. The situation across the Gulf is described as landing exactly as Kissinger's quote implies.

0mo

Jolyon@jolyon

팔로우

Netanyahu Iran Gulf analysis

Israeli military correspondents suggest Netanyahu might start a war to delay his own election. Maariv's Amir Ben-David reports that senior IDF officers believe Netanyahu wants an escalation in Gaza specifically to push back the October vote, even though Netanyahu's generals reportedly do not want an escalation. A similar pattern occurred in Syria where Tom Barak stated everything was calm with negotiations scheduled, yet Netanyahu struck runways anyway. Netanyahu is reported to be sitting at around 20% in election polling. The situation across the Gulf reflects a split picture in Iran regarding whether to take a deal or hold out to make Trump pay politically before the midterms. Iran's president and parliament speaker have posted conciliatory messages stating People are suffering and I'm a fighter and I know the importance of avoiding war. Satellite tracking shows only three tankers crossed the Strait yesterday. This stands in contrast to the administration pushing a figure of 10 million barrels a day through Axios. Kissinger is quoted as saying to be America's enemy is dangerous. To be America's friend can be fatal. The situation across the Gulf is described as landing exactly as Kissinger's quote implies.

0mo