@jolyonIran's playbook: $4 gas, U.S. troop casualties, a strait no one can fully reopen. They can't win, but they can make it too costly to keep fighting. The U.S. has the airpower to hit anything in Iran, but Iran has shown it can absorb strikes and retaliate. The real clock is public patience, and it's ticking faster in DC than in Tehran. Possible endings: a deal Tehran can sell at home, a price Washington deems too high, or escalation that makes both sides irrelevant.
원본 게시물 보기@jolyon님의 사진· Jul 25, 2026· Iran
The focus is a massive billboard featuring a close-up of a person's mouth, which is covered by blue fabric and stitched shut with white thread. The mood is somber and political, with Iranian flags and colorful bunting decorating the scene. A sign reads "DIAMOND" and the text on the billboard says "...به تنگ آمده At The Breaking Point #ننگ_هرمز". Two men on a scooter are visible in the foreground.
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2Iran Claude AI US Navy warships@jolyonIran's playbook: $4 gas, U.S. troop casualties, a strait no one can fully reopen. They can't win, but they can make it too costly to keep fighting. The U.S. has the airpower to hit anything in Iran, but Iran has shown it can absorb strikes and retaliate. The real clock is public patience, and it's ticking faster in DC than in Tehran. Possible endings: a deal Tehran can sell at home, a price Washington deems too high, or escalation that makes both sides irrelevant.
원본 게시물 보기@jolyon님의 사진· Jul 25, 2026· Iran
The focus is a massive billboard featuring a close-up of a person's mouth, which is covered by blue fabric and stitched shut with white thread. The mood is somber and political, with Iranian flags and colorful bunting decorating the scene. A sign reads "DIAMOND" and the text on the billboard says "...به تنگ آمده At The Breaking Point #ننگ_هرمز". Two men on a scooter are visible in the foreground.
Philip Pilkington on the Iran war energy shock2Trump on Iran nuclear deal and gas pricesIRGC Navy commander Ali Asghari on Hormuz2Strait of Hormuz closure condition3Donald Trump oil reserve drop2Zulqader on Hormuz and leadership changesSaudi F-15 targeted by HouthisIsrael Iran ceasefire oddsVance Iran conflict phase 20282US Navy aircraft carrierOil prices and the Strait of Hormuz closureTrump on Iran and dieselGulf Oil Routes Compromised Map3US Navy escorts Strait of Hormuz tankersTrump and Saudi dignitary at ceremonial event2Iran nuclear material UN accusationTrump 9/11 speech Harry Sisson2Iran Claude AI US Navy warships